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Marie Le Pen through Run-Off in Betfair - She Can Be Another Trump Upset

Marie Le Pen through Run-Off in Betfair

It is reported that Le Pen drifts but the punters are still expecting Trump-like moment. The date is around the corner. Folks have 3 days until the General Election voting happens in France. It is going to be the final round.

Sunday, May 7, will be the moment of truth. Meanwhile, the Betfair Politics has priced far-right candidate Le Pen at 9/1. That means she has 11% chance of winning. The France 2017 Market has been changed significantly. As we updated lately, the BetFair politics has concluded the result of TV debate.

Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron debated not so long ago and it affected Macron side really well. He is currently priced at 1.12. That means he has 89% chance of winning.

The final ballot is getting near. Regarding to this fact, Betfair has traded around £25 million on the market. At this market, Le Pen has prospective future because the side receives substantial backing in the two leg competition. The bookmarkers are open to this idea. They stated that Le Pen victory can be considered as another version of Trump upset. This would probably result to bookmakers paying out enormous amount of money to the punters.

Katie Baylis, the Betfair spokesperson reacted to this situation. She shown her realistic gesture when saying that Most commentators of politic agreed that Macron will be the winner. Along with this, the betting reflected that.

But the table was turned. Le Pen continues to attract more folks to stick to her side. In fact, there are about 73% of all bets this week are placed on her. However, people must realize the contradiction that the big money is being friendly with Macron. Around 90% of money placed on him so far now. So, what will happen next?

French Presidential Election 2017

Next President – £25m Matched

  • Emmanuel Macron              1.12 (1/8 or an 89% chance)
  • Marine Le Pen                    9 (8/1 or an 11% chance)

Le Pen 2nd Round Vote Percentage

  • 30% or lower           42 (41/1)
  • 30.01 – 35%            8.8 (8/1)
  • 35.01 – 40%            2.44 (6/4)
  • 40.01 – 45%            3.2 (11/5)
  • 45.01 – 50%            8 (7/1)
  • 50.01% or higher      10 (9/1)

2nd Round Vote Turnout

  • 70% or lower           7 (6/1)
  • 70.01 – 73%            5 (4/1)
  • 73.01 – 76%            3.8 (14/5)
  • 76.01 – 79%            3.75 (11/4)
  • 79.01 – 82%            6.8 (6/1)
  • 82.01 – 85%            25 (24/1)
  • 85.01 – 88%            110 (109/1)
  • 88.01% or higher      250 (249/1)

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